[ edgemaster ]
Quantitative
prediction market
trading.
Live Probability Models|Computed Edge|Disciplined Execution on Kalshi
View today's models→The platform
From signal to execution.
The Signal
Daily probability estimates, market-implied price, and computed edge for every game. Model outputs compared to live Kalshi prices.
View models→Terminal
Manual execution with configurable sizing and risk controls. Connect your Kalshi keys, match model outputs to live markets, and place orders with calculated position sizing.
Open terminal→Autopilot
Rule-based live market surveillance and automated execution when multiple conditions align. Probability smoothing, liquidity filters, take-profit, stop-loss, and disciplined entry criteria.
Open autopilot→Methodology
Every output is the product of a system — not a person's intuition. Models trained on six seasons of play-by-play data, validated out-of-sample, and layered with execution controls: liquidity filters, spread-width gates, time-remaining rules, and configurable risk caps.
No gut feelings. No expert picks. Systematic models with disciplined risk management.